Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | God’s Country | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taken On the Run | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Igniting Embers | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Getoutyourwallet | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Fahrenheit | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run Louie Run | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steel Thunder | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | City Ryder | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Choctaw Strategy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Reya Sunshine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love Me Some Candy | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wowsers | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Line Runner | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caroom’s Croupier | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pushing Through | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Que Sera | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nandina | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Psalm Twenty Seven | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beth Please | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Korda | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Devil’s Den | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cool Cowboy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bavaria Road | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kunan | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secured Lender | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Searcy | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gee No Hollander | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Remember the Fear | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Suncroft | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Goodasiwonswas | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lundberg | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Molly’s Town | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lunar Module | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sinner’s Sin | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caramel Chip | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Farm Team | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chiringo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dreamofyou | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Timberline | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. J | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Menace | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fitzgerald | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chief Valor | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Most Amazing | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Copperjacket | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twisted Steel | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bolt’s Munny | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Army Nurse | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cur Non | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | What’s Her Number | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Strike | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sassy Lass | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Majestic Tornado | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Bl Forty | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Chiquita Reina | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Carmalieta | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Cashmere Baby | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Yes to Champagne | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Shanett | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | R Pretty Kitty | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Elle | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gin’s Beach Road | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Be You | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Up the Creek | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Well Aware | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gun Twirl | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coaster | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Downthedustyroad Breeders’ S.) – Downthedustyroad Breeders’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Haulin Ice | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caliente Star | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Dreamer | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ministry’s Destiny | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ms Carroll County | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arr Piratetreasure | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Painter | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Morally Complex | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hush It Honey | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bold Boss | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She Called | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bachelor Party | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Musical Prayer | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Promisemeanempire | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kissin Cash | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amelia’s Echo | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kentucky Starlet | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chitoz’s Blur | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Onmywaytosavthday | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Teatotal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Willy Cuts | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Markansas | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Blessed | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spooky Action | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gray Taps | 3.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fleetwood Jack | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bet On Tiz | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Because I’m Happy | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Hamazing | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heavens Hound | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rebel Charlie | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bo Bo Dough | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.