Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 21, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Last Man Standing 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Airborne Elite 4.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Panagiotis 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Ari’s Magic 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Tapizar’s Temper 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Collect From Ike 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rule Sixty Two 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Hard to Say 1.80 2.5 5-1
4 4 Redacted 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Good Bali 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Math Tutor 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Red Miller 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Commuted 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sharp Spark 8.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Sagamore Mischief 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Market Maven 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Frizzante 1.80 4.2 8-1
1 1 Glint 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mr. Ripple 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Whiskey N Soda 1.80 2.9 5-1
6 6 Hours in a Day 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Confabulation 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Hey Toby 6.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Bob John Ray 2.50 6.6 12-1
5 5 Brew Pub 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Double Act 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Dr. Sinatra 3.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Stream It 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Print 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Kaz Brio 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Tariff Mindset 2.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Pauillac 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sacrosanct 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Cool Andy 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Re Markably 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Braciole 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Funny Uncle 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Yo Banana Boy 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Landing Craft 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Irish Maxima 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Sweet Brown Sugar 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Atarah 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Twirling Beauty 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Reliable Lady 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Always Angels 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 All Class 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Munnings Express 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Nina Kay 2.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Intentious 4.50 4.9 9-1
2 2 Soloshot 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Majestic Return 8.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Monetary Monarch 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Jackson’s Dixie 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cat Fast 0.80 1 2-1
8 8 Grey Ace 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 The Hero Code 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Solo Flight 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Killybegs Kid 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Daw Samaa 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Dr. Merciless 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Astern Command 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Perfect Shephard 30.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.