Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 22, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Despo’s Dream 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 Proud Foot 1.60 2.6 5-1
3 3 Irish Jackson 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 A Maize Zing Dotie 4.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Unicorn Cake 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Carvellian Quest 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 House United 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Refuah 4.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Rock the Weekend 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Oil Capital 2.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Caddiemaster 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Current Climate 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Carolina Smokeshow 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Mezcalifornia 1.80 2.8 5-1
4 4 Truthorconsequence 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 She’s Complicated 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Amity Island 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Looms Boldly 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Stewie 2.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Timaeus 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Catch the Smoke 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Thrill of It 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Life and Light 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Will of a Womanne 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Caitlins Threes 2.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Lady Meringue 5.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Tree House 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Celeslia 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 My Daughters’ Gift 30.00 7 13-1
4 4 Looking At Annie 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Queen Sally 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Boiling Point 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Imnobodysfool 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Saratoga Sunset 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Wayward Queen 12.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Ishkabibble 10.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Icy Legs 5.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Relli’s Cruiser 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bourbon Day 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Wild Vine 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Adero 12.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Bramito 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Mr Skylight 10.00 5 10-1
5 5 Wynstock 2.50 5.4 10-1
6 6 Crushed It 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Eliminate 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Thorsness 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Noguchi 2.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Projectability 4.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Sports Hero 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Good Cop 5.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Inonit 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Beck’s Dreamer 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Daytona Moonshine 15.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Uncle Barrie 30.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.