Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Feasible | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Misty Muppet | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Aberdeen | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good Call | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kentucky Smokeshow | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jaydensqueenoharts | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Pippa | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Coal Fired | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Astro Beau | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Turin | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kingscliff | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princeton | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jackie Paper | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ledbetter | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ripple’s Rocket | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 11 | Dark Vector | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Mamoot | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Montana Cafe | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Woodspoint | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coastal Breeze | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Skyler | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Mellifluous | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapwrits Temper | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Run for Gold | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Chromerunner | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Sneaky Feet | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Timing Difference | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Miracle Worker | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gas Alley | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tap Me a Song | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | City of Oscars | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aero Star | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Poppa Echo | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | El Diablo Rojo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steel Link | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Martini Blu | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Campfire Creed | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Go West | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | K P Kwest | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Juilliard | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | J J’s Joker | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Critical Threat | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Princip | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Creative Minister | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight West | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Black Powder | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spoiler | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | El Rey Dorado | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pike Place | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Conquering Cat | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gunflash | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamis | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Color Comin’ In | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz in Sight | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Two Girls | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Front Runnin | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Runadhara | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prowess | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | N Z Holly | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Seeker | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mendela | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marmalade Skye | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Martini | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ma Rae’s Girl | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen’s Martini | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Dancer | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bow Draw | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Squall | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Letta’s Legacy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Task | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Two Dollar Eddie | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormbender | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Butch | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Moon | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hicko | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clear Echo | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saved | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bote | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Four O Nine | 4.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Outlaw Run | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Henry Oliver | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.