Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Samantha’s Capo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bulle Babe | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J K Strong | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Essential Girl | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bulma | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Always in Play | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Confrontational | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catrina Zar | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Backtrack | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Real Talented | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Racket | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smooth Motion | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Kid Syd | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucchesi | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carnaby | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scudetto | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Penn Franklin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Imperial Spy | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ten Plus Ten | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Two Dollar Bill | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Up the Kingdom | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warheaded | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honor for Mandin | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Great Composer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sergeant Sinatra | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drake Drive | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz the Coast | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Airman Trevor | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lovemeakaren | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jadon’s Honor | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Judy’s Flyer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wine and Roses | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perugia | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | People Get Ready | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gingersayschill | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Keystormrising | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Calisa | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sandy Girl | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lil Sally | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Melittlefrostgirl | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shudabeenacowgirl | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Azure Lady | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shock | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Cinnamon | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Alastar | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lexington Pike | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormbreaker | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ragatony | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vino Gray | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Huirro | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chachaching | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Group Ticket | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prince Colton | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Porter | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Try Harder | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happily Delusional | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kevin’s Strike | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beyondexpectations | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | McCrakens Ghost | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Flowers | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Malibu Warrior | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Million | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chain Lightning | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Willisau | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starlord | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Angie’s Reward | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Intentions | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wanna Go Home | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Seeker | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Halo Hottie | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bounce | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Downanddirtydonna | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Goldieness | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shining Spirit | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Moor Strength | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fuhgeddaboudit | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tomarie | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gia’s Fuego | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bon Fire Diva | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Union Belle | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mexican Sugar | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Why Not Babe | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | So Swell | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Creme Caramel | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Emily’s On Fire | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Solemn Oath | 15.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jezebel Jade | 15.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.