Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hope Diamond | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vino for the Queen | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starlight Luna | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | It’s Just a Game | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jessica’s Dream | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spirit of Jamaica | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devilsgoldenfiddle | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | List | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dream Diamond | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Max | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Slew | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Resort (FR) | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Too Loose La Trek | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Role Play | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Java | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Landslide | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | People Pleaser | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Crazy | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maerdama | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slender Slipper | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stubold | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Windrush | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ellagio | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mario’s Sweet Girl | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Win Runner | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Aventus | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Never Count Me Out | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mentor | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mas Que Nada | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Lad | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Valen Time | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Brigade | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Two Beers by Ten | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Genuine Gomo | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | War Officer | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Replevin | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Berlone | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Back in the Saddle | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Palace View (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cognoscenti | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fly Erik Fly | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hall Monitor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Redhotnotbothered | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Step Slow | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Commendatore | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skyrush | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holy Dancer | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brick City | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ashima | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Storm West | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Show Off | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Galley Head | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Love Venezuela | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heaven’s Promise | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Puckered | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Josie Joe | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mia Familia | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amended Dreamer | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Paradise Street | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Munnings Talks | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brown Diamond | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | East Jabip (IRE) | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beside You | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo’s Little Darlin | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bullet Journal | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Ember | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Muffin Music | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drama | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jestina | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Samaritan’s Joy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winplaceandshow | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Duchess Eleanor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fermi | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chucky’s Ride | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kate the Smate | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Practically Famous | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gigi Cake’s | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dolce Vino | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Viable Asset | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Divinely Inspired | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rogue Runner | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.