Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lightning Struck | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boat Song | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Majesty | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kunshan Bridge | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unload | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hedge | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Born Flawless | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miri a Coincidence | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Valhalla Vixen | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lite It Up Louie | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lover Girl | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Talkin in Cursive | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Edistrudis | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Rose | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Windy Bay | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Misinformation | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Highly Connected | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Like Max | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Horse of the Sea | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Herbs Bolt | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Large Risk | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jets Rio | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Western Warrior | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Best Known Secret | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Thea | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bamtwentyklater | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Teatotal | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Look Back | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catching Heat | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quibble | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Onmywaytosavthday | 2.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Reign Champagne | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Parking Lot Pours | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Gimme a Chance | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Southfork | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bigwrigdude | 1.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Country Boy | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Denali Lightning | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Polar Wolf | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Endue | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bedazzlingstrategy | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jonesboogie | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hurricane Comin | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stauf | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amazing Chaos | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Floating Beauty | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kerry’s Kiss | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lolo Le Plume | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Colonial Rose | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vino Tiempo | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crimsonite | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lobby Rendezvous | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mad About Marie | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adogate | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Helene’s Power | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Black Magic River | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bet the Gray | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Moon | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fraud Alert | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brienz | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Gun’s Loaded | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Authentic Cat | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scot’s Law | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Copper Wind | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sticker Shock | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spitfire | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m a Little Crazy | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Actis | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kaboom | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Air Castle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Paris Accord | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jack’s Gal | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Highway Seventy | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Belle | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | She’s Our Daffodil | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Harper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Trump’s Diamonds | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ghost Money | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | B’s Luck | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Shrimp Cookie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.