Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Boat Song | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kunshan Bridge | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unload | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lightning Struck | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hedge | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Majesty | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miri a Coincidence | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Born Flawless | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lite It Up Louie | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lover Girl | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Edistrudis | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Talkin in Cursive | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Windy Bay | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valhalla Vixen | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Rose | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Misinformation | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Horse of the Sea | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Highly Connected | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Herbs Bolt | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Western Warrior | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Best Known Secret | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Large Risk | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Like Max | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jets Rio | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Onmywaytosavthday | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thea | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bamtwentyklater | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catching Heat | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Teatotal | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Look Back | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Parking Lot Pours | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quibble | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Reign Champagne | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bigwrigdude | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gimme a Chance | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Southfork | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Denali Lightning | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Polar Wolf | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Endue | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Country Boy | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amazing Chaos | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stauf | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jonesboogie | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hurricane Comin | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bedazzlingstrategy | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lolo Le Plume | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Floating Beauty | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Colonial Rose | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Adogate | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lobby Rendezvous | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kerry’s Kiss | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crimsonite | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vino Tiempo | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mad About Marie | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Black Magic River | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Helene’s Power | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bet the Gray | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fraud Alert | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brienz | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Gun’s Loaded | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Moon | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sticker Shock | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Authentic Cat | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scot’s Law | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m a Little Crazy | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Copper Wind | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spitfire | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Actis | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kaboom | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Paris Accord | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Air Castle | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jack’s Gal | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghost Money | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Highway Seventy | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shrimp Cookie | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | She’s Our Daffodil | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Harper | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trump’s Diamonds | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Belle | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | B’s Luck | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.