Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mya Papaya | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pleasing | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lolita J | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fly Farther | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tia Lupe | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iona McKinzie | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shining Away | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cheyenne Moon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit to Inspire | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ballybay Beauty | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Bit O Storm | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Great Fortune | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Safecracker Sue | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Illy Simz | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Thirteen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gus’s Gal | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Classical Gas | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trapped | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cloud Number Nine | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vino Bella | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skipper’s Ruby | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunday Slipper | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Highstakes Hustler | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Storm Sniper | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Niko | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | D Coldest | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Willingness | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Byword | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Homeland Messa | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cloud Without Rein | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Baby’s Last Dance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Beach Invasion | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A Long Time | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Max S | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Don Pablo | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Haulin Oats | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Classic Sensation | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | McGinnis | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Royal Irish | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Zun Reyder | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Roc and Ready Jo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Athletic Like | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kin to the Wicked | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | From Scratch | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moonie Pie | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two Jet | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dolly’s Guitar | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mikkisonthinice | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | F J’s Chaos | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bartender | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Huck’s Agenda | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Business | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Faye’s Gold | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Clearly Authentic | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honor Azteca | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Taylor | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amazing Lady | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Daddario | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dakota Cam | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Faithful Departed | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Strong | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iwannabeamachoman | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lewis Memorial | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Witchology | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Iron Fortune | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zong’s Favor | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Louisiana Bargain | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Toms Lucky Mo | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Andys Plan B | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Star | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bellastone Country | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.