Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tia Lupe | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pleasing | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fly Farther | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mya Papaya | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iona McKinzie | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shining Away | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lolita J | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cheyenne Moon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Thirteen | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Illy Simz | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ballybay Beauty | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Bit O Storm | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit to Inspire | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Great Fortune | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Safecracker Sue | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gus’s Gal | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classical Gas | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunday Slipper | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vino Bella | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skipper’s Ruby | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trapped | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cloud Number Nine | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cloud Without Rein | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Highstakes Hustler | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Niko | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Byword | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D Coldest | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Storm Sniper | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Willingness | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baby’s Last Dance | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Homeland Messa | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | McGinnis | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Irish | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zun Reyder | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Haulin Oats | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beach Invasion | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Long Time | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Don Pablo | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roc and Ready Jo | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Athletic Like | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Max S | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Classic Sensation | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | From Scratch | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kin to the Wicked | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two Jet | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dolly’s Guitar | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moonie Pie | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mikkisonthinice | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | F J’s Chaos | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Faye’s Gold | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daddario | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Faithful Departed | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Huck’s Agenda | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bartender | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amazing Lady | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honor Azteca | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Clearly Authentic | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Business | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dakota Cam | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Taylor | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Iwannabeamachoman | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Strong | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lewis Memorial | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Toms Lucky Mo | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Witchology | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Iron Fortune | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Andys Plan B | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Star | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zong’s Favor | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Louisiana Bargain | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bellastone Country | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.