Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Avery County | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Open Flame | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Only After Midnite | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devil’s Den | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Calipari’s Girl | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Closdatgate | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smooth Marriage | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Sweet Angel | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Inuit | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Personal Jet | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Time Andbeyond | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Max Dot Socks | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holus Bolus | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miracle Mack | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grey Street | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Battleoftheravine | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Castle Gap | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pea Eye | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speaking Loud | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Grand Oracle | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Amentum | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Tall Cotton | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Improbability | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Lower Broadway | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Highway Patrol | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Field Study | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Onyx Outlaw | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Blushing Bee | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 4 | El Gato Americano | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trouble Ahead | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forty Love | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sexagenarian | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fire in My Sul | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aerate | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War of Destiny | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mackville | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Red Hot Jeanie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Collected Glory | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Riobella | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Balladry | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 10 | High Summer | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Singing Emma | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Smart With Heart | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Makemebelieve | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Georgia On E’smind | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Who Lu | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Red Machine | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amazing Amanda | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Synoptic | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alta Avenue | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Look N Mighty Fine | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charla Collection | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vinno Ronnie | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Ida B | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iso Lucky | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Kelly’s Girl | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coaster | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ginger Zip | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Twice | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | On the Bridle | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patty Van Twinkle | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vegas Condo | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Campaign Promises | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Trivista Overnight S.) – Trivista Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nerazurri | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seraphia | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gowells Delight | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peignoir | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In Just My Heels | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Home Game | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Decadent | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rose Palace | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Patton’s Tizzy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | String Theory | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Burlsworth | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Landlord | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holding Pattern | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dinner At Crumpies | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | You Vee Cee | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stuck N Snow | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cool and Cloudy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hightail Cowboy | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.