Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Open Flame | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Avery County | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Only After Midnite | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devil’s Den | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smooth Marriage | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Sweet Angel | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Calipari’s Girl | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Inuit | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Closdatgate | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Time Andbeyond | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miracle Mack | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Max Dot Socks | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Personal Jet | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holus Bolus | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Battleoftheravine | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Castle Gap | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grey Street | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speaking Loud | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pea Eye | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Grand Oracle | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Amentum | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Lower Broadway | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Highway Patrol | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Onyx Outlaw | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Tall Cotton | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Improbability | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | El Gato Americano | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Blushing Bee | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Field Study | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sexagenarian | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fire in My Sul | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War of Destiny | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forty Love | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aerate | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trouble Ahead | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mackville | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Riobella | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Hot Jeanie | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Balladry | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 10 | High Summer | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Smart With Heart | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Collected Glory | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Singing Emma | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Makemebelieve | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Georgia On E’smind | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Who Lu | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Red Machine | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amazing Amanda | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charla Collection | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Ida B | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vinno Ronnie | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alta Avenue | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Synoptic | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iso Lucky | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Look N Mighty Fine | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Twice | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coaster | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patty Van Twinkle | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kelly’s Girl | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ginger Zip | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Campaign Promises | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vegas Condo | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | On the Bridle | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Trivista Overnight S.) – Trivista Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Peignoir | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nerazurri | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | In Just My Heels | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gowells Delight | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seraphia | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rose Palace | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Home Game | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Decadent | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Patton’s Tizzy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Landlord | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Burlsworth | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holding Pattern | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stuck N Snow | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hightail Cowboy | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dinner At Crumpies | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cool and Cloudy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | You Vee Cee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | String Theory | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.