Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 28, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nowucme Nowudont 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sfumato 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bargain Purchase 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Central Spirit 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Illmatic 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bounty Banker 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Judge Boushay 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Lord King 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Busher S.) – Busher S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Paradise 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Nycon 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Interstatelovesong 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Current Yield 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Blazing Brat 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Queens Over Threes 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Redwineandwhiskey 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Carol T 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mambagigi 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 I’m Kidding 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Rare Society 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Howling Wind 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sunshine Lily 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Tom Fool S.) – Tom Fool S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bold Journey 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Breslau 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Acoustic Ave 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Full Moon Madness 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 One Nine Hundred 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Prince of Joy 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Centavo 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Skylander 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Nobodyridesforfree 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Knox 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Pot of Gold 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Midnight Trouble 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Because the Night 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 J J’s Ranger 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Hours in a Day 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mister Holden 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Atira 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Rock Steady Babe 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Mama Rock Me 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Punchoutandgohome 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Midnight Blue 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Daylight Dreamer 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Find Your Path 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Giddyup Dale 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Barbour County 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Serena Fly 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Sugartown Sweetie 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Kaz Farm Girl 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Credit Risk 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Splitting Stones 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Sir Kartrite 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fireballin 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Liberty Rising 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Calling Card 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mozambique 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ducky Medwick 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 First Pitch 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sanzio 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stymie S.) – Stymie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Full Screen 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Phileas Fogg 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Counterspy 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Yo Daddy 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ridgewood Runner 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Komorebino Omoide (JPN) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Castle Chaos 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Whittington Park 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Brigadier General 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Big Blue Line 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Donegal Surges 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dreamlike 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Bramito 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Russian Realm 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Eliminate 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mr Skylight 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Top Gun Rocket 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 V Cruizer 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Gotham S.) – Gotham S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hammond 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Balboa 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Dirty Rich 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Exhibition Only 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Right to Party 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Creole Chrome 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fourth and One 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Iron Honor 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Crown the Buckeye 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.