Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bounty Banker | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Central Spirit | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Illmatic | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nowucme Nowudont | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sfumato | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Judge Boushay | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bargain Purchase | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lord King | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Busher S.) – Busher S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Paradise | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Interstatelovesong | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nycon | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Current Yield | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blazing Brat | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mambagigi | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Kidding | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Redwineandwhiskey | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Howling Wind | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queens Over Threes | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunshine Lily | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carol T | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rare Society | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Tom Fool S.) – Tom Fool S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Acoustic Ave | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Nine Hundred | 0.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Full Moon Madness | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Breslau | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Journey | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mister Holden | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Knox | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | J J’s Ranger | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pot of Gold | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Centavo | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Trouble | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Because the Night | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prince of Joy | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nobodyridesforfree | 50.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Skylander | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hours in a Day | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rock Steady Babe | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Credit Risk | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sugartown Sweetie | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Punchoutandgohome | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daylight Dreamer | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barbour County | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mama Rock Me | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Atira | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Serena Fly | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Giddyup Dale | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Find Your Path | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Blue | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Kaz Farm Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ducky Medwick | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calling Card | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fireballin | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mozambique | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sir Kartrite | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sanzio | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liberty Rising | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Pitch | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Splitting Stones | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stymie S.) – Stymie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Phileas Fogg | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Komorebino Omoide (JPN) | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yo Daddy | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Full Screen | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Counterspy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ridgewood Runner | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | V Cruizer | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamlike | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Donegal Surges | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Castle Chaos | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Russian Realm | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eliminate | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Blue Line | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Whittington Park | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brigadier General | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bramito | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mr Skylight | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Top Gun Rocket | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Gotham S.) – Gotham S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crown the Buckeye | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Balboa | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Iron Honor | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hammond | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fourth and One | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dirty Rich | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Right to Party | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Exhibition Only | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Creole Chrome | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.