Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 28, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Red Camelia S.) – Red Camelia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Highly Wicked 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Rising Inflation 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 Tommie G 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Island Gold 15.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Kalil 8.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Saved by Grace 12.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Jus Press Star 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 What’s Love 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 It’s Been Real 4.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 All You 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Day Storm 12.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Cava de Oro 12.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Divineintervention 3.50 5 9-1
6 6 Premo’s Hint 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Southern Queen 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Proven Hope 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Skipper’s Pride 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Inca Empire 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Soul Coaxing 12.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Bigfoot Sighting 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Uxmal 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Daryl’s Bolt 3.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Keys Included 30.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Flashy Premo 30.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Dick Best 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Whiskey and Easy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Core Memories 4.50 1 2-1
12 12 Dagmara 5.00 2 4-1
10 10 High Street Pizzaz 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Ur Desire 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Adorable Moments 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Lowenstein (IRE) 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Raging Bloom 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Twinklee 8.00 5 9-1
9 9 Mothertwotheblues 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Outro 10.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Butterfly Jasmine 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Twirling Daisy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Solemn Vow 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Just Bluffing 3.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Trust Fund Philly 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Wondrous 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Autumn Rhythm 6.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 No Time Left 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Edward J. Johnston Memorial S.) – Edward J. Johnston Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Letmikefigureitout 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Allnight Moonlight 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sippin On Gin 6.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Cajun Mitole 5.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Good and Stout 20.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Fran’s Star 8.00 4 7-1
5 5 Wicked Secret 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Boss of All Bosses 8.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Laser Clad 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Benoit 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Louisiana Stallion Of The Year Star Guitar S.) – Louisiana Stallion Of The Year Star Guitar S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Creole Chrome 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Scar Ship 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Wherethehitsare 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Mogumbeaux 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Mor Force 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Bubby 5.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Thebabeslayer 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Chariot 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Black Gold S.) – Black Gold S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 McCready 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Touch of Fire 3.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Casa Cielo 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Beekman Street 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Ramblin 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Sunrise 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Black Hornet 8.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Swift Blade 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Louisiana Broodmare Of The Year Charged Cotton S.) – Louisiana Broodmare Of The Year Charged Cotton S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Thrill Seeker 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Braken Poppa 1.60 1.8 3-1
6 6 Liteupthenite 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Complete Wrap 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Tied the Knot 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Fade to Gold 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Chicka Chick 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Mischievous Cindy 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Jet Ruckus 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.