Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cupid’s Choice | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nattie’s Boss | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Serenity Song | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Butler Road | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grande Voix | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rock Talk | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sunset Rising | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Elusive Sionna | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pichu | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stroll Trippin | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shenadoah Sunrise | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fiesta La Luna | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kittyup | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | R Averie Lynn | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lost River | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Charlotte | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skip Thru Da Fire | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paisley Singing | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Always Forward | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sapphire Beauty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Watch Me Sparkle | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Image of Grace | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Lydia | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yau Majesty | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midwest Princess | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hay Grace Brennan | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Artist Mark | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | City Panda | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lou’s Birthday | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ecumenical | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speedy Alex | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | World On Fire | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | What Does It Take | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Self Taught | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mistical Curlin | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Be Better | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catatumbo | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Collection Day | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tiberius Mercurius | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sailor’s Return | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Keeping It Country | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hay Chief | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | More Vino | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Certified Loverboy | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take the Pledge | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hagrid’s Flame | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Xcellent Start | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crossland | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cap Com | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tops the Chart | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zen Dreams | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tea Rose | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spice Gal | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rylnnslookinglucky | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey Brew | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beshareit | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.