Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 1, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bright Spark 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Gewurztraminer 2.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 My Noble Knight 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Underdressed 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Excel Calculator 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Drum Roll Please 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 D Day Reunion 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 J T’s Imagination 20.00 9 17-1
2 2 Stellar Vino 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sharp Swinger 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Dual Monarchy 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Nicholai 3.50 1.3 3-1
2 2 Northern Chill 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Tom Cat Tuesday 8.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Risk It 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Dr. Storm 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Orange Diablo 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Map to the Stars 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Heavenlyconveyance 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Booth 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 Tejano Twist 2.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Book Smart 5.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Durante 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Gold Sweep 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Hola Joey 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Senior Officer 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Zero Sugar 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Hymn 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Tre Italiani 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Prime Power 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Faust 12.00 4 8-1
8 8 Rowdy Riot 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Title Contender 30.00 9 17-1
5 5 Drill Baby 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Pig Trail Overnight S.) – Pig Trail Overnight S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Catching Freedom 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 Batten Down 1.40 1.1 2-1
5 5 Systemic Change 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Quality Chic 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Otello 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Archie the Giza 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Ratings Handicap) – Ratings Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Run Classic 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Wildatlanticstorm 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Thoughtthatcounts 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 El Prestigio 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Carbone 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Ninja Warrior 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Henro 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Barksdale 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Devil’s Tower 15.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Vale 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Whitley 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bossofmi 3.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Cattle Baron 4.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Bemis 5.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Wolf Tooth 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Makeshift’s Legacy 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Pearcy Road 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Arkansas Dave 20.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Amore 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Hello Bourbon 20.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Arco Thunder 30.00 12 23-1
12 12 Roku Nana 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Munnings Challenge 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Silver Syndicate 2.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Fancy Fairlane 3.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Market Runner 5.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Machado 8.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Hidalgo 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Orange Road 20.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Hillbilly Daydream 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Big Tech 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Honeybee S.) – Honeybee S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Explora 1.40 1 2-1
10 10 Taken by the Wind 2.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Search Party 4.50 2 4-1
2 2 Sneaky Good 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Newtown Pike 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Knickleandime 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Counting Stars 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Take Charge Macy 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Grace Is Free 30.00 10 19-1
8 8 Classic Glide 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gethsemane 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Banksy’s 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Maximum Effort 6.00 3 6-1
11 11 Dragones 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Fleek 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Mr Fancy Pants 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Owie 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Rocky Raccoon 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Just Jo Jo 12.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Baby Vino 15.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Prime Suspect 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Rebel S.) – Rebel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Blackout Time 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Litmus Test 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Silent Tactic 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Bravaro 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Class President 10.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Soldier N Diplomat 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Strategic Risk 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Rancho Santa Fe 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Honey’s to Blame 20.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Time for Music 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Like a Diamond 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Signdsealddeliverd 4.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 Whispering Charm 5.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 Breaker Wave 6.00 3 6-1
10 10 Bossa Dama 8.00 3.9 7-1
13 13 Cutenclassy 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Sky High Angel 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Artemis Sparkles 15.00 7.1 13-1
14 14 Mspunkinsperegrine 20.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 She’s My Last Call 20.00 9.4 18-1
5 5 Blackwood 20.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Stevie Kicks 20.00 9.4 18-1
12 12 Free Drop Nana 30.00 14 26-1
8 8 C Note Gia 30.00 14 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.