Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 1, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gewurztraminer 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 My Noble Knight 3.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Bright Spark 2.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Underdressed 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Drum Roll Please 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 D Day Reunion 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Stellar Vino 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 J T’s Imagination 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Excel Calculator 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Northern Chill 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sharp Swinger 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Nicholai 3.50 2.9 5-1
8 8 Dual Monarchy 3.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Map to the Stars 20.00 3 6-1
3 3 Tom Cat Tuesday 8.00 3.4 7-1
9 9 Risk It 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Orange Diablo 20.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Heavenlyconveyance 30.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Dr. Storm 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Booth 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Hola Joey 15.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Tejano Twist 2.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Durante 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Gold Sweep 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Book Smart 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Senior Officer 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Tre Italiani 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Zero Sugar 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Faust 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Hymn 4.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Prime Power 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Drill Baby 30.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Title Contender 30.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Rowdy Riot 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Pig Trail Overnight S.) – Pig Trail Overnight S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Batten Down 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Systemic Change 4.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Otello 15.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Catching Freedom 1.20 2.8 5-1
3 3 Quality Chic 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Archie the Giza 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Ratings Handicap) – Ratings Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wildatlanticstorm 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 El Prestigio 5.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Ninja Warrior 8.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Run Classic 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Thoughtthatcounts 4.50 2.9 5-1
9 9 Devil’s Tower 15.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Carbone 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Henro 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Vale 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Barksdale 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Whitley 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cattle Baron 4.00 1.2 2-1
11 11 Bemis 5.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Makeshift’s Legacy 10.00 3 6-1
7 7 Bossofmi 3.50 3.8 7-1
10 10 Wolf Tooth 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Arkansas Dave 20.00 4 8-1
6 6 Amore 20.00 6.1 12-1
12 12 Roku Nana 30.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Pearcy Road 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Hello Bourbon 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Arco Thunder 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fancy Fairlane 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Silver Syndicate 2.50 1.1 2-1
8 8 Market Runner 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Big Tech 30.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Machado 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Munnings Challenge 2.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Orange Road 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Hillbilly Daydream 20.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Hidalgo 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Honeybee S.) – Honeybee S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Explora 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Sneaky Good 8.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Taken by the Wind 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Search Party 4.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Take Charge Macy 20.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Grace Is Free 30.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Counting Stars 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Knickleandime 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Classic Glide 30.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Newtown Pike 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Maximum Effort 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Banksy’s 3.00 1.1 2-1
11 11 Dragones 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Owie 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Mr Fancy Pants 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Gethsemane 2.50 6.3 12-1
8 8 Rocky Raccoon 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Just Jo Jo 12.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Baby Vino 15.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Fleek 8.00 9.3 18-1
5 5 Prime Suspect 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Rebel S.) – Rebel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Litmus Test 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Class President 10.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Blackout Time 1.60 1.4 3-1
10 10 Soldier N Diplomat 10.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Rancho Santa Fe 12.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Silent Tactic 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Strategic Risk 12.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Honey’s to Blame 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Time for Music 30.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Bravaro 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Like a Diamond 1.60 1 2-1
11 11 Breaker Wave 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Artemis Sparkles 15.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Bossa Dama 8.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Whispering Charm 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Stevie Kicks 20.00 4.7 9-1
14 14 Mspunkinsperegrine 20.00 4.9 9-1
13 13 Cutenclassy 8.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 C Note Gia 30.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Blackwood 20.00 8.4 16-1
12 12 Free Drop Nana 30.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 She’s My Last Call 20.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Sky High Angel 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Signdsealddeliverd 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.