Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Itwillbefun | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Champagne Mischief | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fifty Nine Fifty | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hala Blue (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’s a Shore Thing | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Inamorata | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joyful Joyce | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Betty | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ravenite | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Panama Limited | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carolannie | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mon Cher Amour | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ourdaydreamingmiss | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inner Excellence | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ms Peppadew | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muskie | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alyvia’s Lil Girl | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cynthia Gail | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hope She Fires | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Briscoe County | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gruene Hall | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alice Fantastic | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ready to Romance | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Misty Bay | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mucho Magnifico | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chartage | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Song | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sunny Magic | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’sspringboiii | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Sneckdraw | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Date Night Kisses | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Volatility | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Misspent | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bright Kohana | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leftover Sushi | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Et’s Moon Maiden | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Island Dream Girl | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Girlfromouterspace | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Girl | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Introubleagain | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Accelerated Dating | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brentwood | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chubasco Sauce | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Barou | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Special Man | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Aleah Aleah | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Transcendental | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Praetorian Guard | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Asmodeus | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Capital Conquest | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Aficionado | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Modern Midas | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run Cory Run | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celestial Dark | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Twenty One Kid | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Onlygodcanjudgeme | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Milagroso | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Presenceisapresent | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Into Hijinks | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Haunting Echoes | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Think I’m in Love | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stately Girl | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Avatude | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luv Queen E | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Our Uptown Girl | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unsolved Mystery | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Equus | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pearls and Heels | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jump a Fox | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stassi | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clout Chaser | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Duration | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marvelous Mo | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alchemism | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Romanesque | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Preacha Meyers | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harmony Road | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | B D Saints | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | True Connection | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Earl of Dassel | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Twentyeighttothree | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Get Like Mike | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nimmo | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Checkitup | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Anointed Spirit | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Real Conviction | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prime Motive | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | River’s Gamble | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Batter Up Bud | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Back East | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Lion | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.