Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 5, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 King Peanut 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Al’s Romeo 2.00 2 4-1
5 5 Strato 5.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 String Theory 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Azteca Warrior 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Natorade 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Lake of Fire 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mo El Grande 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Eleven Bravo 15.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Cliffs of Dover 4.50 4.3 8-1
9 9 Bolt’s Treasure 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Awol 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Ashburner 5.00 7 13-1
10 10 Jute Box 6.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Rag Tree 10.00 8 15-1
8 8 Bo Bo Dough 15.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Expensive Game 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Right On Right On 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Rebelious 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Sound of Victory 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Hawks Creek 4.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Lea Me Be 30.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Frost Alert 8.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Texas Holdem 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Jacks Spring Break 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Black White N Gold 12.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Hard to Fathom 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Track Ranger 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Mr. Goodtime 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Tims 8.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Wilburton 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Palmer Beach 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 A Wild Posse 10.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Field Study 12.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Shooter McGavin 20.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Greystar 12.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Mikestrumpcard 30.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Jackie Paper 15.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Social Climber 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Stradale 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Strong Potential 12.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Zeus’s Echo 5.00 2 4-1
8 8 Canned Heat 20.00 3 6-1
5 5 Swung 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Chad Allan 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Awesome Magic 20.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 After Party 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 How Bout That Curt 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rockin Robin 1.80 1 2-1
11 11 Cognizant 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Jolly Jolene 10.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Dare Greatly 2.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Quality Ami 12.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Pretty Dang Fast 20.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Warrior Sophie 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Summer Date 30.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Quite Baffling 6.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 American Missy 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Rags 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Ratings Handicap) – Ratings Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Saudi Crown 1.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bendoog 5.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Cooke Creek 4.50 3.2 6-1
10 10 Gun Party 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 American Law 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Money Supply 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Winnemac Avenue 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Uncle Caesar 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Forged Steel 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Runaway Again 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Vital Mind 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Second I D 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Invulnerable 15.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 El Que Sabe (ARG) 20.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Stiglets 0.80 3.9 7-1
4 4 Linzer 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Sir Wellington 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Inexorable 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Oscar Eclipse 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pearcy Road 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Taken On the Run 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Gray Taps 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Mandatory Mission 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 No Kid of Mine 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Best Flat Out 30.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Mr Fahrenheit 2.50 5.7 11-1
8 8 Golden City Street 20.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Free of Frost 30.00 7.8 15-1
12 12 Yancopin 30.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 Balandeen Storm 30.00 10 19-1
1 1 Willy Cuts 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.