Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 6, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Well Accustomed 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Wicked Sailor 3.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Diamond Country 4.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Roberts Revenge 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Tarkington Girl 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Our Last Half 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Long Shot Louise 12.00 8 15-1
5 5 Austyn Jane 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Clearly Majestic 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Final Half 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Deal of Faith 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Blondate 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Bearcat 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Custom Ride 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Catchin Drama 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Velveteen 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Kisses for Cooper 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Torrey Pine 4.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Not Today Boss 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Mutually Exclusive 8.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Whateveryousay 8.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Waitinonabomb 10.00 8 15-1
2 2 Cruising the Town 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Prince of Light 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Fast Connection 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Starmetal 5.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Festivo 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Twenty Two Black 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Mischief Ride 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Straitshootinlarry 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Sunset Skip 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 He’s Exaggerating 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Respectheconnect 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Sultan’s Pride 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Pardoned 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Go Get Trae 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Bayouland Red 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Parole Drama 12.00 8 15-1
2 2 Atchafalaya Sunset 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rojo Rita 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Twolatebabydoll (FR) 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Betty’s Dance 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Prayforthewicked 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Tempting Eve 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Princess Is Olivia 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Heylookmeover 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Kazoom 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Props 4.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Key Man 4.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Standard Deduction 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Outlaw Empire 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Impavido 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Orville’s Map 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Mor Cheese Please 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 September Silver 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sabi 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Write Off Jerry 5.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Calibrate 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Risk Manager 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Liar’s Poker 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Contemplation 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Next Level 8.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 National Eclipse 8.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Awesome Ruta 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Mr McGregor 10.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Great Escape 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Flowersforshantell 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Midnight Blaze 4.50 1.2 2-1
11 11 Roll Gypsy Roll 6.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Front and Silver 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Deal’em and Weep 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 April’s Gem 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Marina’s Gold 8.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Miz Jameson 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Crystal d’Oro 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Foreign Tourist 30.00 11 21-1
5 5 Talksalot 30.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.