Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Well Accustomed | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Last Half | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Country | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roberts Revenge | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Austyn Jane | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tarkington Girl | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Long Shot Louise | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Sailor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bearcat | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clearly Majestic | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deal of Faith | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Final Half | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Custom Ride | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catchin Drama | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blondate | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Torrey Pine | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Velveteen | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kisses for Cooper | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mutually Exclusive | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cruising the Town | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Not Today Boss | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whateveryousay | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Waitinonabomb | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Prince of Light | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Connection | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mischief Ride | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starmetal | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twenty Two Black | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Straitshootinlarry | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sunset Skip | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Festivo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | He’s Exaggerating | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pardoned | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Get Trae | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Atchafalaya Sunset | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sultan’s Pride | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bayouland Red | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Respectheconnect | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Parole Drama | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rojo Rita | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prayforthewicked | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tempting Eve | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Is Olivia | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twolatebabydoll (FR) | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Betty’s Dance | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heylookmeover | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kazoom | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Outlaw Empire | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Key Man | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Impavido | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Standard Deduction | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | September Silver | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mor Cheese Please | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Orville’s Map | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Props | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sabi | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Risk Manager | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Liar’s Poker | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Next Level | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Calibrate | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Write Off Jerry | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr McGregor | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Contemplation | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Awesome Ruta | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Great Escape | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | National Eclipse | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Marina’s Gold | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Blaze | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flowersforshantell | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Front and Silver | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | April’s Gem | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crystal d’Oro | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Talksalot | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Roll Gypsy Roll | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miz Jameson | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Foreign Tourist | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deal’em and Weep | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.