Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Madagascar | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ramses the Great | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chicken Dance | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Not Now Nick | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empire of Glory | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forza Azzurri | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | David Pepperman | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Antonino | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magneto | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Alongcomesawoman | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jayana | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royalties Riches | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alluring Serenity | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Horseplay | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boombox Betty | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bee N Dee | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Street Sue | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Looks to Kill | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Magical | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Affirming | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Other One | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Jenna | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Love Stone | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Volamo | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Maitre D | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mackor | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Transactional Guy | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lazio | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Santal | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild West Justice | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valid Sense | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bronze Bullet | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Squire | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Micanopy | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Favorite Bird | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nickel C | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ababajoni | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Justin Smiles | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trelawny | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Bolt | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mario’s Sweet Girl | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slender Slipper | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Five Eyes Onmichel | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fontina | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Widerthanamile | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My Sweetheart | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pillar of Beauty | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Slay the Day | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Epigram | 30.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slippers | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Catalonia | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Black Cherry | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glancing My Way | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Viva Vienne | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pulstar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Thank You Amy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tizasweetlady | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Epico | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vekoma Velocity | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Action Delight | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eternal Dream | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Juliette | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Beautiful Bill | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jackpot Cree | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sonic Surge | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mo Rapido | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Giant Teddy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Air Force Cruising | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Banded Rocket | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risk Factor | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carcone | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moon Landing | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coffee At K J’s | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adversary | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mentee | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Masseto (GB) | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mattingly | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Extendo | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Society’s Thunder | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cairo Caper | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Okiro | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Test Factor | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Asher’s Edge | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.