Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Belvedere Club | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trick of the Light | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Gamer | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Highway Seventy | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Woodall Pass | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steal Your Soul | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Make It Happen | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Compassionista | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dreaming of June | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sea Zest | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alas | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s an Earner | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Senorita Perdida | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pipinna | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Think Twice | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | American Missy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rags | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Papa Yo | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Determinedly | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Notary | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baxter | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neon Nights | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ghost Hero | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conquering Cat | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Runamileinmyshoes | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lemon Zest | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Decadent | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zaghruta | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cervaro Della Sala (GB) | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bow Draw | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Davina | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honor Cat | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hello Angel | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Emmallene | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sammy Sam Sam | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Line Runner | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prone to Greatness | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Surely the One | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Harper | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Couru | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dixie | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Expect the Best | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Morunning | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carolo Rapido | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Powder | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Creative Minister | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Caesar | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sara’s Shaman | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pike Place | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tizmatic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nuts and Bolts | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Very Demure | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Justice Addition | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Santa Luzia | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Easy Kiss | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | On Ramp | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Street Twirl | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Really Fancy River | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Love Loving | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cowboy Killer | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Quick to Charm | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Gemma | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Olympic Star | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rational Theory | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Love Supreme | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grace Me | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lovely Words | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cali Cream | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Suitefourfourthree | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Ratings Handicap) – Ratings Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Asternia | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Filly Crystal | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Benedetta | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo for Us | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sadie the Goat | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gloriette | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marmalade Skye | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Demidanu | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gettinby | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lord of Rhymes | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Brahms Image | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zippy Mark | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Dominator | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | You Vee Cee | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Triple Up | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rock Solo | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Classy Socks | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Four O Nine | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rocket Sanders | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Razorback Army | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.