Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Golden Plate | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wake Surf | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Airborne Elite | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blame It On Daddy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapizar’s Temper | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fever Night | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Two Ducks | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bellamy | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Craic | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiger Rocket | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go Dharma | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Crowbar Artist | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chillax | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Interceptor | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valentinian | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Neon Bordeaux | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sturdy | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Waitlist | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Gander S.) – Gander S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Minorinconvenience | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Anyway | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wamo | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Obliterator | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sculcos Folly | 1.40 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mission Critical | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | You’re Lookin Good | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Trust Fund | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good Lord | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Farm Team | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gamebred | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy Dreaming | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smilensaycheese | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morlock | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Next On Stage | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reliable Lady | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vekomancer | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goodnightngodbless | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Serengeti | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ready for Trouble | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shadyside | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La Gran Artesana | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grace Reformed | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Early On | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pocket Queens | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Full Pour | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Top of the Table | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Wisdom | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Purpose | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bodegas | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maddie May S.) – Maddie May S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Galinda | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Victory Hall | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rina’s Revenge | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Purple Divine | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mathea | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Note | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Velocity Girl | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Fortune | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Protected | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Incentive Pay | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Porosity | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Mitole | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Derbyness | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Griffin’s Wharf | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Vista | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Ready to Go | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.