Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 7, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fly Ty 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Goodmorning Gracie 8.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Mary Claire 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Your Ladyship 4.50 3.2 6-1
10 10 Naykesh 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Dogwood Blessing 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Obstacle Gal 8.00 3.7 7-1
12 12 Francesnfriends 20.00 4 8-1
11 11 Frolic Hosea 30.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Ve Nina 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Daze Day 10.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Southern Love 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Corona de Oro 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cromwell 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Diamond Eyed Jack 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Hitchcock 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 King of Heat 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Macho Beanie 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Ice’m Up Boys 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 My Pal Sweet 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Same Play 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Poppa Magic 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Heavenly Deal 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Pennys Deal 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 One Giant Leap 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lagoon 4.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Thunderhawk 2.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Midnight Pranks 3.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Carambaso 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Sweet La Crema 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Raising Kane 10.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Duke of Carthania 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Cruisin Chuck 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 El Capo 20.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Obelus 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Newman 10.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Provider 6.00 6 11-1
2 2 Guns Allowed 8.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 He’s a Charmer 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Bds Top Gun 30.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Deerfield 4.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Breakaway 5.00 10.2 19-1
11 11 Untethered (IRE) 6.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 I Got the Hint 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Reaux Ban Da Man 4.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 A G’s Charlie 12.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Perennialspromise 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 F J’s Mayhem 15.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Soft Hands 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Westbrook 5.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Sarge Custivity 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 My Boy J 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hey Bertie 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 She’s a Tempest 4.50 2.8 5-1
10 10 I’m Mo Joke 4.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Biscuitwiththeboss 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Apropos 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Cairo Dream 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Lord I Wonder 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Rileys Redemption 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Carson Bay 12.00 8.8 17-1
12 12 Ninia 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Quantum Burst 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Epic Style 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Amalfi Drive 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mo Whiskey 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Drewrelius 6.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Lafitte’s Legacy 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Double Deals 5.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Golden Mane 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Big Woods 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Take the Hint 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Imperial Bandit 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 A Hint of Scandel 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allen Black Cat Lacombe Memorial S.) – Allen Black Cat Lacombe Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Aggressive Lime 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Struck At Midnight 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Indigo Woods (IRE) 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Loveliest 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Bohemian 3.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Loch Fyne 20.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Ontology 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Faithful Departed 20.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Callmeyourmajesty 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 A. P.’s Girl 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Alone Time 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shot Gun Shack 0.80 1 2-1
9 9 Temple of Peace 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Jayjayjay 6.00 6 11-1
3 3 Alwaysfreaky 8.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Closing Agent 15.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Mr. Brad’s Cowboy 10.00 7 13-1
4 4 Runner Runner 30.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Roll On Luke 30.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Ocean Voyager 15.00 8.4 16-1
12 12 Cadillac Bo 30.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Hard Cry 30.00 10 19-1
13 13 Redrebelproduction 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Gato Blue 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.