Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 7, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fly Ty 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Your Ladyship 4.50 1.1 2-1
10 10 Naykesh 5.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Dogwood Blessing 5.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Mary Claire 6.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Obstacle Gal 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Goodmorning Gracie 8.00 2 4-1
4 4 Daze Day 10.00 2.4 5-1
12 12 Francesnfriends 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Ve Nina 20.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Frolic Hosea 30.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Southern Love 50.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cromwell 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Corona de Oro 2.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Diamond Eyed Jack 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Hitchcock 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 King of Heat 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Macho Beanie 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Ice’m Up Boys 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Poppa Magic 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Same Play 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 My Pal Sweet 8.00 7 13-1
7 7 Heavenly Deal 8.00 7 13-1
1 1 Pennys Deal 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Thunderhawk 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Midnight Pranks 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 One Giant Leap 4.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Lagoon 4.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Carambaso 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Raising Kane 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Sweet La Crema 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Duke of Carthania 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Deerfield 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Cruisin Chuck 4.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Breakaway 5.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Obelus 6.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Provider 6.00 1.8 3-1
11 11 Untethered (IRE) 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Guns Allowed 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Newman 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 El Capo 20.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 He’s a Charmer 20.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Bds Top Gun 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Perennialspromise 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Reaux Ban Da Man 4.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 I Got the Hint 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Soft Hands 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Westbrook 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 My Boy J 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 A G’s Charlie 12.00 7 13-1
3 3 F J’s Mayhem 15.00 9 17-1
9 9 Sarge Custivity 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hey Bertie 3.50 1 2-1
13 13 Quantum Burst 4.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 She’s a Tempest 4.50 2.4 5-1
10 10 I’m Mo Joke 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Epic Style 4.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Lord I Wonder 5.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Amalfi Drive 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Apropos 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Cairo Dream 8.00 7.4 14-1
12 12 Ninia 8.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Rileys Redemption 10.00 10.2 19-1
2 2 Biscuitwiththeboss 10.00 10.2 19-1
5 5 Carson Bay 12.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lafitte’s Legacy 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 A Hint of Scandel 4.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Double Deals 5.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Mo Whiskey 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Golden Mane 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Drewrelius 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Take the Hint 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Imperial Bandit 12.00 9 17-1
1 1 Big Woods 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allen Black Cat Lacombe Memorial S.) – Allen Black Cat Lacombe Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bohemian 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Aggressive Lime 4.50 1.6 3-1
10 10 Alone Time 4.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Struck At Midnight 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Loveliest 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Indigo Woods (IRE) 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 A. P.’s Girl 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Ontology 10.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Callmeyourmajesty 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Faithful Departed 20.00 11 21-1
5 5 Loch Fyne 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shot Gun Shack 0.80 1 2-1
8 8 Jayjayjay 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Alwaysfreaky 8.00 4 7-1
9 9 Temple of Peace 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Mr. Brad’s Cowboy 10.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Ocean Voyager 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Closing Agent 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Gato Blue 15.00 6.8 13-1
13 13 Redrebelproduction 20.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Runner Runner 30.00 13 25-1
12 12 Cadillac Bo 30.00 13 25-1
2 2 Hard Cry 30.00 13 25-1
7 7 Roll On Luke 30.00 13 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.