Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Parnelli Jones | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Booked Clubhouse | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sirnami | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King’s Ride | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carl Erskine | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cotton Mouth | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tight Dally | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | County Line Kid | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scorching Hot | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Another Swing | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Simple Song | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | For All Mankind | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Last Straw | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pali Kitten | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Flag | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baladi | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Comedy Town | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Running With Chaos | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Will Happen | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Surfin’ U. S. A. | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon and Ginger | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Umbralle | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cosmic Heat | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | South Bay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (B. Wayne Hughes Beholder Mile S. Presented By Fanduel) – B. Wayne Hughes Beholder Mile S. Presented By Fanduel
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Splendora | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Om N Joy | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nafisa | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bless the Broken | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Simply Joking | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dazzling Move | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Happy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vantastic | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jimmy Blue Jeans | 3.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Phosphorescence (FR) | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ah Jeez | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kawazaki (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dakota Country | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One of These Days (IRE) | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cathal (IRE) | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Civil Liberty | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Memory | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Decisive Win | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Captain Shreve | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Duke Silver | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Embry Show | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crude Velocity | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deep Tracks | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gallatin | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sophie’s Heart | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dats Ms. Blame | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Banzai Betty | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Sasha | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Medjugorje | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Padel Addict (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Whatastarr (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Somerset West | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | High Society U | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Maddog | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Decisive Deception | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prove Your Point | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Everything Good | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Jasmine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (San Felipe S. Presented By Dk Horse) – San Felipe S. Presented By Dk Horse
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brant | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Potente | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | So Happy | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secured Freedom | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Robusta | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Fritz | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Start the Ride | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Frank E. Kilroe Mile S.) – Frank E. Kilroe Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mi Hermano Ramon | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Potente | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gas Me Up | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Final Boss | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Almendares (GB) | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Astronomer | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mi Bago | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cabo Spirit | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Santa Anita H. Presented By Yaamava’ Resort & Casino At San Manuel) – Santa Anita H. Presented By Yaamava’ Resort & Casino At San Manuel
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Just a Touch | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Getaway Car | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vodka Vodka | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | British Isles | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Mammoth | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Skippylongstocking | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Westwood | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Warm Sun and Brew | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Infinitum | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Council | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Minister Shane | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King of Dragons | 3.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keithing Thunder | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Freeport Joe | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highplainsdrifter | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Dolce | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Speed of Elon | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.