Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Our Majestic | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | McZ | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Mack | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doolgaroux | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daddy’s Code | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stone Alliance | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kee Jee | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mischevious Robert | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Custom Cadillac | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Hope | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Nickel | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blame Me Seriously | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Ronnie | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Billy Bowlegs | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby’s Last Dance | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saberman | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Night Stick | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Vitruvius | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dashing Diem | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Coaster | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | First Samaritan | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hms Diamond | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Charlie Prime | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crimson Red Road | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr Hinckley | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daat | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bee Aurelius | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nippit | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beleout | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liam’s Mist | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Flame | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blessed Assurance | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kentucky Cajun | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hopeitsmyluckyday | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Graceful Star | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | McGinnis | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Irish | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zun Reyder | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ain’t Dere No Mo | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beach Invasion | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Got Stripes | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Somekinda Mischief | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seminole Man | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Can See Da Feet | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mo Can Do | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Greatizlove | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bonified Crazy | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lammas (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Masqueparade | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curahee | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Heist | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kavod | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bernin Tune | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parkway | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | National Eclipse | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Romance | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Random Harvest | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bracelet | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | For Love and Honor | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Triumphant Spirit | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paris Lily | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Parish Lane | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sierra November | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Deal Me Trips | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Make Me a Deal | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ohm Namo | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Playboy Rocket | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aunt Netty’s Tank | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Closing With Honor | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Palace Alex | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gato Blue | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fruit Basket | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sly Jack | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | No Deal Or Deal | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.