Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Our Majestic | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | McZ | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daddy’s Code | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doolgaroux | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Mack | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kee Jee | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mischevious Robert | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Stone Alliance | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Royal Hope | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Custom Cadillac | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Ronnie | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blame Me Seriously | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Nickel | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Billy Bowlegs | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby’s Last Dance | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Night Stick | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saberman | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Vitruvius | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Coaster | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crimson Red Road | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dashing Diem | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | First Samaritan | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bee Aurelius | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Charlie Prime | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hms Diamond | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr Hinckley | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daat | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nippit | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beleout | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liam’s Mist | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Flame | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blessed Assurance | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Graceful Star | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kentucky Cajun | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hopeitsmyluckyday | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Royal Irish | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ain’t Dere No Mo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Beach Invasion | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Can See Da Feet | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Somekinda Mischief | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Greatizlove | 50.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seminole Man | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bonified Crazy | 50.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mo Can Do | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | McGinnis | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Zun Reyder | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Got Stripes | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Curahee | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Heist | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kavod | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Masqueparade | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Parkway | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | National Eclipse | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bernin Tune | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucky Romance | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lammas (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bracelet | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paris Lily | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | For Love and Honor | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sierra November | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Random Harvest | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Parish Lane | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Triumphant Spirit | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Deal Me Trips | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Playboy Rocket | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ohm Namo | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Closing With Honor | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Palace Alex | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gato Blue | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Make Me a Deal | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fruit Basket | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | No Deal Or Deal | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aunt Netty’s Tank | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sly Jack | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.