Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Noguchi | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good Cop | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Powered by Coal | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Down the Line | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Natural Hunk | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daytona Moonshine | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moneybags Milton | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Celestial Body | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Carol’s Way | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Lucky Me | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Truda | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maizey Blue | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Good Graces | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Coquito | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yankee Doodle | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kyle’s Mom | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Luna Moth | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Floge | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whistler’s Style | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Garden of Grace | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Preferred Pal | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Patience N Grace | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Juliet On Approach | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kaz Farm Girl | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Jane Hathaway | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sassetti | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rogue Justice | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spirit of Esther | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cha Cha Wren | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mia Nipotina | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rose Lisa | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | That’sthefactjack | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cara’s Chianti | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | New York Scrappy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Apollo Code | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo for the King | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Capt Jax Parrow | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fric and Frac | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joe West | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pandemic Hero | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Camm’ Duke | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Secured Landing | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lotsa Trouble | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sharp Spark | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sagamore Mischief | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laughing Boy | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quiet Wisdom | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Suerte | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stolen Base | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hours in a Day | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Last Man Standing | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.