Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 12, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bayou Time 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Hear Thunder 4.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Rescue Squad 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Easy Like Breezy 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Classical Ocean 4.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Aticus Aurelius 4.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Aunt Netty’s Tank 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Grazie Prego 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 She’s Tops 3.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Fixated 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Alrosa 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Ad Hoc 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Best Beach 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 License to Steal 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Jr’s Gift 4.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Lil Bro Coop 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Ain’t No Disco 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Byword 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Willingness 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Traitour 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Little Warrior 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Wayllen Richard 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Killa Sally 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Look At Me Nah 3.50 1.4 3-1
9 9 Sharing Wisdom (GB) 4.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Constructively 12.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Dream Eagle 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Ribadeo 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 U Vicky 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Unlikely Queen 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Dancewhenyoucan 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 G’wildcat 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 F T W Slam 8.00 2 4-1
8 8 Hawija 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Our Determination 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Ampitup 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Sophie’s Painter 6.00 4 7-1
3 3 Young Tuscan 10.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Summertime Peppers 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Majority Opinion 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Late September 5.00 1 2-1
14 14 Causeway Benny 5.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Flash N Class 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Island Cabana 15.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Turf Monster 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Captivating Star 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Corporal Paul 3.50 6.1 11-1
10 10 Global Honor 4.50 7.2 14-1
7 7 Bob’s Channel 15.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Single Shot 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Woods N Water 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Slick and Fast 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Wayside Drive 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Tensas Camp Road 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mardi Gras Empire 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nopenottonight 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Myglorybee 5.00 2 4-1
6 6 Blue Cheese 10.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Tambourine Star 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Ranch Water 3.50 2.8 5-1
9 9 Northernreflection 4.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Cypress Gold 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Beach Blanket 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Take Charge J J 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Contribution 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Hot Property 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Mary’s Boy Bolt 8.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 Crisis Manager 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Main Beach 4.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Bolt From Above 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Max S 30.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Unleash the Power 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 John the Beer Man 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Drilling for Gold 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Edgerton 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mo Diva 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Tortuga Coast 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Jailhouse Religion 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Seraphina Sea 20.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Bourbon Americana 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Promesa Divina 8.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Lady Dixie 8.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Gatsby’sgreenlight 20.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Tia Lupe 8.00 8 15-1
6 6 Khozy’s Operetta 20.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Wendy’s Myla 30.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.