Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 12, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Brooklynn Drew 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 What’s Crackin 3.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Salagadoola 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Sicilian Grandma 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Factor That 15.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Smart With Heart 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Spirit Rules 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Balls in Ur Court 4.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Frolic in the Park 5.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Sthenic 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Chica Arma 3.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Summertimee 20.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Lilly Mae 15.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Georgia On E’smind 12.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Courageous Cappen 4.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Highlight Show 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sissy Sox 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Smokin Hot Stuff 1.80 1.8 3-1
7 7 Lonely Woman 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Rambunctious Rylie 12.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Always Spiteful 2.50 6.6 12-1
6 6 Everlasting Lover 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Luv to Win 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Speightster Red 5.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 One True Shance 6.00 2 4-1
9 9 Taillights 4.00 3 6-1
8 8 Kunshan Bridge 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Miri a Coincidence 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Fire Bryan 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Gambler Rocket 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 K P Kwest 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Showers 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Severe Clear 2.00 3 6-1
2 2 Queen of Salsa 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Crushed Ice 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Payton’s Beauty 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Wreaking Havoc 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Moenchanted 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Little Sister Sue 15.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 End of Innocence 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Rodeo Star 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Dawson James 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Butch 3.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Viney 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Fleetwood Jack 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Polar Wolf 4.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Flat Out Blessed 20.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Bet On Tiz 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Bernardi 20.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Fosforito 15.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Perfectly Harvey 10.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Mo’s Flying Low 30.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Rebel Charlie 30.00 9 17-1
14 14 Stillbilly 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Big Country Boy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bolt At Midnight 4.00 1 2-1
12 12 Magic Grant 2.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Hey Big Un 15.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Calycanthus 10.00 3 6-1
9 9 Sir Exton 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Tejas 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Curlins Incharge 15.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Tiz Wicked Strong 12.00 5 9-1
4 4 Montauk Point 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Brittany’s Dream 30.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Face Value 5.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Ringside 30.00 9 17-1
14 14 Excel Calculator 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 D Day Reunion 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Beautiful Twice 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mendela 12.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Beauty Reigns 1.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Ervadean 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Miss Martini 10.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Quantum Burst 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Blue Squall 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 My Russian 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Arky Road 4.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Go Go Ro Ro 3.50 2 4-1
8 8 Irish Guard 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Cutting Class 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Spooky Action 12.00 3 6-1
6 6 Captain Hamazing 5.00 3.9 7-1
12 12 Run Louie Run 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Keokuk Kid 15.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Heavens Hound 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Hurricane Comin 30.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Steel Thunder 30.00 9.9 19-1
13 13 Southfork 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.