Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 13, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Antietam 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Restless Renegade 1.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Mr R T 4.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Gaborone 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Klimt Master 30.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Liam’s Diva 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Holly Ln 1.80 1.9 4-1
6 6 Backstreets 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Beau Hill 15.00 4 8-1
1 1 My First Dinah 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Kay Road 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sequential 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Maldini 2.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Smallchangegeep 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Good Bali 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Come Full Circle 4.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Instant Success 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Romantic Dancer 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 Intentious 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Will Not Be Swayed 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Artemis Sound 2.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Always Practical 4.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jackson’s Dixie 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 My First Love 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Dorth’s Sol Dancer 15.00 2 4-1
5 5 Unicorn Cake 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Troubled Luck 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Echo in Eternity 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Paradise Valley 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Mr Skylight 1.20 2.4 5-1
3 3 Typhoon Fury 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Disarmed 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Russi 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Asleep At Eight 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Irish Jackson 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Will of a Womanne 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Timia 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Cloudy Chance 2.50 4 7-1
7 7 Fifi La Fume 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Scarlet’s Dream 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dia Por Dia 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Emerald Forest 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Graywing 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Amusing Mischief 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Divine Leader 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Princip 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Nabokov 6.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Enduring Spirit 6.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.