Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bronze Legacy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nothin | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marlin Darlin | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peace of Justice | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hammydown | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go Hot Girl | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ocean’s Appeal | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moonie Pie | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sue’s Little Zing | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pasila | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Precious Money | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eve of Eve | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Factor of Time | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Becky’sgottahaveit | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thundering Desire | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Maximum Bourbon | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Built | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Autodrive | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Old Homestead | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red State | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tuck Check | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss River Rat | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turf Rocket | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rosieontheriver | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forgotten Fortune | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Differently | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rosie’s Angus | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Harmonic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Jocasta | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kayla’s Komet | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Punch | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Startin Trouble | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knock Knock | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winning Matters | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Our Ten | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rosecliffe | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tarzana | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sunshine Daydream | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Buckeye Bombshell | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Private Property (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Ascot | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Good Conduct | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Galatina | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Olatz (GB) | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keen Gal | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lit Up | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lakota Lady | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Humble Toad | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be the Light | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nut Bush City | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aegis | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nightmare Fuel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fast Gun | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stepping Stones | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rani | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Live Wire | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Candy Talking | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nelson’s Penny | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hidden Map | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Echo Juliet | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I B Flyin | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Crusin Like a Cat | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Easy Bet | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Where’s Aunt J | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hey Madalyn Claire | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Be a Bandit | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Z | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lightening Mo | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Kennedy | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Taken It | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saberfight | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Smoking | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.