Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Duvee | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hudson’s Day | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Halo | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Contraband Early | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girlie’s Max | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Josan | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Brother Go | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heza Sexy Zong | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crigler | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Background | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Feathers Road | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uxmal | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ben Dreaming | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hexcel | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey and Easy | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smoothdini | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Motor City Menace | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Napoleonic Code | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Skip Forward (JPN) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guaguarero | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Arnie | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Dial | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Full Command | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clearly Stardom | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Don Pablo | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Max the Butler | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Swagger | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | War Belle | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Truly an Honor | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Click | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shezthefactor | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stress Test | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speed Skater | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Imprudent | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Low Low | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eskenforave and Ak | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deceitful Banker | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Darlin | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Two Jet | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Line Ruler | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pip Squeek | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deal With It | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Usain d’Oro | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Honor His Half | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sienna Breeze | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lake Marie | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Ocala Gala | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Seeking Attention | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Al Muheerah | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blushing Justice | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yaudacity | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Go Go Playmate | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wooten Warrior (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | One More Guitar | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cheddar | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heitzgirl | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Napping | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Niche | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Crescent Sky | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Glenda Faye | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stellar Knickie | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Baby Hello | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady Law | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pure Joy | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Abilene | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twinklee | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sister Jean | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lit Up | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ur Desire | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Awesomesauce | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ontario | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Union Mist | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ori | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kalil | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aviso | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miz Chris | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sheila’s Lion | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Spun Candy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Channel Check (GB) | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Wilhelmina | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chasing Glory | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Golddiggendevil | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soul Coaxing | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Battleoflexington | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Changing Times | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shortlist | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | You’re On Mute | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Luni Sima | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | People Force | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keys Included | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Star Apriority | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Righteous Freedom | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Bodie | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sultan’s Pride | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Senor Smoke | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tombigbee | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Leisurely | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yakety Yak | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome William | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | M L Brody’s Gem | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.