Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Contraband Early | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Duvee | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hudson’s Day | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Halo | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Girlie’s Max | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crigler | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Brother Go | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Josan | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heza Sexy Zong | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Background | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uxmal | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Feathers Road | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ben Dreaming | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smoothdini | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Napoleonic Code | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hexcel | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey and Easy | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Motor City Menace | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Guaguarero | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skip Forward (JPN) | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Dial | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Full Command | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clearly Stardom | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Max the Butler | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don Pablo | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arnie | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Swagger | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Truly an Honor | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stress Test | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Click | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | War Belle | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eskenforave and Ak | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Low Low | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speed Skater | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shezthefactor | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Imprudent | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deceitful Banker | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Darlin | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Jet | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pip Squeek | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Deal With It | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Usain d’Oro | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honor His Half | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lake Marie | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Line Ruler | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sienna Breeze | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yaudacity | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Al Muheerah | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wooten Warrior (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stellar Knickie | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Glenda Faye | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Go Go Playmate | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blushing Justice | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cheddar | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heitzgirl | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ocala Gala | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | One More Guitar | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Crescent Sky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Seeking Attention | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Napping | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Baby Hello | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Niche | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pure Joy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Abilene | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Law | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twinklee | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sister Jean | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ur Desire | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lit Up | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ori | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ontario | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miz Chris | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesomesauce | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sheila’s Lion | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spun Candy | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chasing Glory | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Channel Check (GB) | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aviso | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Wilhelmina | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Union Mist | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Kalil | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Golddiggendevil | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soul Coaxing | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Battleoflexington | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shortlist | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luni Sima | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | You’re On Mute | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | People Force | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keys Included | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Changing Times | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Star Apriority | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Righteous Freedom | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome William | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Leisurely | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sultan’s Pride | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tombigbee | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Bodie | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yakety Yak | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Senor Smoke | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | M L Brody’s Gem | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.