Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | C McGriff | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Feral | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Backside | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No More Kings | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devilish Act | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fatguyinlittlecoat | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | McBridge | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tip Toe Joe | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Woodspoint | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Line | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Montana Cafe | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fast Joker | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classically | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sneaky Feet | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rynotograce | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skibidi Rizz | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hicko | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clear Echo | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Under Fire | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bote | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Trick | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | More Power | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Battleoftheravine | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Saved | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormbender | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Raymond | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Top Gun Tommy | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Five o’ Somewhere | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Air of Defiance | 4.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vale | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Luna | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sitka | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Without Objection | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Handsome Herb | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ben Franklin | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glass of Jameson | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coastal Breeze | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crew Dragon | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miracle Worker | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Cowboy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Waco | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heavenlyconveyance | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tiz in Sight | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Revel Toast | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Debbie Doll | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hallowed Hall | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | What’s the Tea | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ducat | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Final Shipman | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Seeker | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rockin the Lane | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dare to Fly | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Appealing Addie | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ozona | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gerlin’s Empire | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Talkin in Cursive | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swiftwind | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sultry Kitten | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Woopig | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Up the Creek | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Purple Martin S.) – Purple Martin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | River Wind | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goodall | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | You’re in Heaven | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Two Girls | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wrong Shoes | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Not a Lady | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Front Runnin | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shape Note | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pokerknightatvees | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Magic | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dual Monarchy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run Jalen Run | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sinner’s Sin | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Northern Chill | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Life Is Precious | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ripped | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heart N Soul | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Whitmore S.) – Whitmore S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tejano Twist | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wendelssohn | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tough Catch | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ryvit | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Bash | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Sweep | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spankster | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Leafology | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Macy’s Mischief | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lake Louise | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mighty Nora | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bet the Gray | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fraud Alert | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Authentic Kitten | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mi Amiga | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Ella | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Empath | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.