Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 15, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Escape Hall 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mo Spice 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Mercilesanihilator 1.60 2.4 5-1
2 2 Miami Kaz 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Essentially Fast 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Manhattan Chrome 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Munnings Express 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 Princess Becca 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Soloshot 5.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Mommasgottagun 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Howling Wind 3.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Chelonian 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mr. Papagiorgio 2.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Commuted 1.80 3.2 6-1
1 1 Cicciobello 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Frizzante 3.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Shared Success 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Moment’s Notice 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Middle Market 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Three Little Birds 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Lean Music Machine 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Thirteen G’s 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Givememythememusic 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Red Miller 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Monte Avi 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 The Hero Code 4.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Jamaica Redd 20.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Winegold 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 So Spirited 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Midnight Musume 30.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Killybegs Kid 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Take Me to Londyn 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Tammy’s Cruiser 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Sabby Sunset 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Itwillbefun 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Syl’s Pleasure 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Eleni 6.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Jay’s Love 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ez Roll 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Solo Dancing 5.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Caddiemaster 1.80 1.2 2-1
1 1 E Z Bourbon 6.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Kismeholdmethrlme 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Oath of Omerta 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Resilient Hero 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Dr. Merciless 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shellac 0.80 1 2-1
1 1 Plex 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 Grey Ace 4.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Senor Poncho 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Astern Command 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Chips and Fish 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Daw Samaa 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Lough Currane 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.