Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Razor Crest | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knockalittlelouder | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marks Promise | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cryptozonic | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Drewmazing | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oak Hill Lg | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Like This | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spinning Aces | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Speedy One | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arthur’s Court | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tyler’s Turn | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Date the Prince | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sand Cast | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bonafide | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Vengeance | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Victory Prince | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Musical Band | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ayden’s Edge | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Central | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clearly Artemus | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Metairie | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Von Erich | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nippit | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seize the Win | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Code of Parapluie | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Guile | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time to Party | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Notion | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Boss | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Castle Island | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Bandit | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Perfecto | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Your Man | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Snazzy Gal | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Glow | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run Bambi Run | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | R T’s Gem | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clearly Creeps | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In B. J.’s Honor | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Star | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Broadway Pearl | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Girl Thirsty | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rileys Empire | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dr Stricklands Ace | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Country Belle | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Furio | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Save the Trees | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Demolition Duke | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honky Tonk Highway | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fully Volatile | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scat Free | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ocala Gala | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seeking Attention | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One More Guitar | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Napping | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Niche | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fun On the Bayou | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crescent Sky | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Hello | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Speightful One | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iron in the Fire | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sonofaship | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bind Faith | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Creole Charlie | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Half Full | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hoosier | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gordito Hermoso | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flashy Premo | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Country Guy | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.