Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Parking Lot Pours | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kentucky Starlet | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | L. A. Diamond | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Came Up Roses | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reign Champagne | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bl Forty | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carmalieta | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Good News Rocket | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Improbability | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Lower Broadway | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Amentum | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ripple’s Rocket | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Convolution | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | E Money | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Doyouhearme | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cybertown | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Ten Stadium | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Willow Creek Road | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lochmoor | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Man in the Can | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hess | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Afleet Sky | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miracle Minded | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kava | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Donita | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Open Flame | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Closdatgate | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Why Chris Why | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Battisto | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | C Note Gia | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Camp Daddy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | What’s Up Doc | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Excel Calculator | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Global Empire | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Metatron’s Muse | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gasoline | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Thunderer | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tahoe Run | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Critical Threat | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ember | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mumdoggie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Black Star | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Man | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Himothy | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vintage Cowboy | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stone County | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noble Anthem | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Tallymon | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Surveillance | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sinner’s Sin | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lunar Module | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Otto the Conqueror | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ghost of Midnight | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Empire Builder | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oscar Eclipse | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bron and Brow | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ms Carroll County | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Queen Mallard | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Macy | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ministry’s Destiny | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sisters in Town | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Doubledaddy Issues | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bossoftheblock | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Plinko Chip | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rockin the Lane | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Woodruff | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cashmere Baby | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chupapi Munyayo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | You Vee Cee | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Choctaw Zip | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blessed Vision | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Landlord | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Table Money | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cool and Cloudy | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shake Up | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hightail Cowboy | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Heavenly Gift | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.