Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Reign Champagne | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kentucky Starlet | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parking Lot Pours | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carmalieta | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | L. A. Diamond | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bl Forty | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Came Up Roses | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Amentum | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Good News Rocket | 1.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Lower Broadway | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Improbability | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ripple’s Rocket | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Convolution | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | E Money | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Doyouhearme | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Man in the Can | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cybertown | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Ten Stadium | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hess | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Willow Creek Road | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Afleet Sky | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lochmoor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Donita | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miracle Minded | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Open Flame | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kava | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Closdatgate | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | C Note Gia | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Battisto | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Why Chris Why | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gasoline | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | What’s Up Doc | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Metatron’s Muse | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Excel Calculator | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Critical Threat | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Thunderer | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Camp Daddy | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Global Empire | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tahoe Run | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ember | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mumdoggie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Himothy | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Black Star | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Man | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stone County | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vintage Cowboy | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Noble Anthem | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Tallymon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Surveillance | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ghost of Midnight | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Otto the Conqueror | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Empire Builder | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sinner’s Sin | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lunar Module | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oscar Eclipse | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bron and Brow | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ms Carroll County | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Queen Mallard | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rockin the Lane | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Macy | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Doubledaddy Issues | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Woodruff | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Plinko Chip | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cashmere Baby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ministry’s Destiny | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bossoftheblock | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sisters in Town | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Landlord | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blessed Vision | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | You Vee Cee | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Choctaw Zip | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chupapi Munyayo | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Table Money | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shake Up | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cool and Cloudy | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hightail Cowboy | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Heavenly Gift | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.