Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Monday, March 16, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hannah Boo 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Goodmorning Gracie 4.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Stella Guitar 4.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Flora Bound 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Metallic Maid 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Stormy Lou 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Go North Boss 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Miss Maddie 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ice Cold Blonde 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Undisputable 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Kitten Gloves 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Hold the Drama 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Great Owl 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Authentic Angel 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Boitano 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Foxtrot Harry 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Not Falling Back 12.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Red Road 3.50 2.7 5-1
10 10 Mister Muldoon 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Fortuity 10.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Twoko Bay 20.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Even the Wind 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Moogie Son 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Bigfoot Sighting 20.00 8 15-1
11 11 Sendero 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Zaffa 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Huck’s Agenda 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 A. P.’s Girl 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Sticker Shocked 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Majestical 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kin to the Wicked 0.80 1 2-1
5 5 Blissit 10.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 La Maxima 4.50 6 11-1
2 2 Dose of Reality 6.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Charge the Deal 15.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Platinumus Maximus 12.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Miss Makeithappen 12.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Little Em 12.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 John’s June 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Another Mystery 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Ever Dangerous 5.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Next Level 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Summer in Adriane 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Polar Bear Plunge 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Frosty Blue 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Flamingproposition 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Bold Discovery 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Enlighten 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 La Norme de Jour 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Apollo Eleven 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Kalatua 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Editor 4.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Hutchinson 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 General Graham 3.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Pampered Prince 8.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Kingofsomewherehot 4.50 8.7 16-1
9 9 Candy Dreamin 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mister Mmmmm 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 That’s Right 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Pineland 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Vesture 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Bridle a Butterfly 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Amoudi Bay 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Rock N Roll Bolt 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Fit to Fly 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sweet Alexis 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Molto Vino 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Apriority Catch 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Strawberry Sundae 3.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Visionista 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 Anita’s Vision 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Agami 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Averi Ever After 20.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Pat Hand Girl 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.