Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tojo’s Mojo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cisco Kid | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Advice | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Azure Lady | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Aficionado | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fazaro | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Onlygodcanjudgeme | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Back East | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Easy Action | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mac Daddy Too | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midlaner | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shipman | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nancy Made My Day | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Three Captains | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Lincoln | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nomowineforyou | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Disco Rhodes | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buff Gary | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King of the Cross | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nakimax | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Slew of Fortune | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tongue Tied | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pontiffany | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sheza Bernardini | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fuhgeddaboudit | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sofster | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Girlfromouterspace | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Burning Embers | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Waitwaitdonttellme | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | J K Strong | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Breezefromtheeast | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bulma | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shaunnasaprilfool | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sacred Prayer | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Always in Play | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Breeze Along Belle | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hart of Coupella | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Adios Jersey | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Twentyeighttothree | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Authentic Kingdom | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Capital Conquest | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Biagio | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carbonite | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rainy Skies | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twenty One Kid | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celestial Dark | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | House of Magic | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Am Rue | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mila Rose | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perugia | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shubagail | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Byebyejealouseye | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leretha | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tavria | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Golden Eib Micrphn | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pachelbel | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lovely Charm | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Center Stage | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spicy Delight | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jess’s Moment | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Alani | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jeanne Marie | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aoife’s Magic | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Disco Ebo | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carousel Queen | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beach Daze | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Take Time to Dream | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Erin’s Enthusiasm | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Everheart | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Annmarie | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Megan’s Noel | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Popthechampagne Ro | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sirani | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Onthisharvestmoon | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss M M | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.