Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, March 19, 2026

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Churning Berni 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Furry Fox 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Blenheim Baby 1.80 4.2 8-1
2 2 Heavens Lee 4.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Cha Cha Wren 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Mia Nipotina 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Raynham Hall 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Roseberns Dream 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Hip Hop Dancer 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Nightscope 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Relli’s Cruiser 50.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Tank Girl 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Higher Force 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Royal Bobbie 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Big Dig 1.40 2.1 4-1
4 4 Pam Pam 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Racing Colors 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Luckforyou 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lucky Dragon 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Inonit 3.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Good Cop 1.60 2.4 5-1
4 4 Beck’s Dreamer 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Daytona Moonshine 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Uncle Barrie 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Perfect Shephard 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ravin’s Ransom 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Ten Cent Town 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Scoot Daddy 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Play 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Stewie 4.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Looms Boldly 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Whiskey N Soda 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Carvellian Quest 1.20 1.5 3-1
5 5 Cocktailsnkringle 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Fort Nelson 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Twohonestmischief 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Morlock 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Celeslia 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bengalese 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 So Tru 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Golden Miracle 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Combatant’s Song 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Covert Affair 2.50 7 13-1
7 7 All of My Whatif’s 10.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Maxisure 6.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.