Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Filly Crystal | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gloriette | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Titled Lady | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | R Pretty Kitty | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Key to Success | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Misty Muppet | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Itzel | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Makeshift’s Legacy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Igniting Embers | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Huckaby | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rebel Ridge | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gray Taps | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arco Thunder | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | City Ryder | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Banded Writ | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hello Bourbon | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | House Trick | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Ratings Handicap) – Ratings Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Austrian Navy | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | So Jacksann | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Painter | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Not a Joke | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lover Girl | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Best Cupcake | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | End of Innocence | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Pippa | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tartaria | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rag Tree | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Refined Design | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bagg O Time | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fitzgerald | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southfork | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden City Street | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baritone Crier | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awol | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | El Gato Americano | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 11 | Conway | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dawson James | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Humorous Saint | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Big Country Boy | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bo Bo Dough | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Tater | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Stillbilly | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Denali Lightning | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Zong’s Creed | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Zong’s to Blame | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | I’m Fired Up | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jonesboogie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Like a Diamond | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Breaker Wave | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Artemis Sparkles | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Chocolatte | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Free Drop Nana | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mspunkinsperegrine | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roots Tootn | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carolines Hart | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Doris J | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cold Case | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreaming of June | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Justice Addition | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | On Ramp | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Of All Things | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love Loving | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboy Killer | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Chrome | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rags | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Black Powder | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Law | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princetown | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rock Solo | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fireball Birdie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Capo Luca | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pappy’s Revenge | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Notary | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Faust | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Invictus | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Innovator | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mitty’s Griddy | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rowdy Riot | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Camp Evans | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Vector | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Justice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Optimal Courage | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Finster | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mumayaz | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dazzlemesilver | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lemon Drop Shot | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | One True Shance | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sergeant Gump | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kunshan Bridge | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Swift as I Am | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Texas Holdem | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Big Commerce | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cravensworth | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Taillights | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.