Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Filly Crystal | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Itzel | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gloriette | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | R Pretty Kitty | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Misty Muppet | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Titled Lady | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Key to Success | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Igniting Embers | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rebel Ridge | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gray Taps | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Makeshift’s Legacy | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Huckaby | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arco Thunder | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | House Trick | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | City Ryder | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hello Bourbon | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Banded Writ | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Ratings Handicap) – Ratings Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | She’s Not a Joke | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Pippa | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | So Jacksann | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lover Girl | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tartaria | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Street Painter | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Austrian Navy | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | End of Innocence | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Best Cupcake | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bagg O Time | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Refined Design | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awol | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rag Tree | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fitzgerald | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden City Street | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Southfork | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baritone Crier | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | El Gato Americano | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dawson James | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Humorous Saint | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Conway | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Big Country Boy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Zong’s to Blame | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Denali Lightning | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Zong’s Creed | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Tater | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jonesboogie | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Stillbilly | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 2 | I’m Fired Up | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bo Bo Dough | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Like a Diamond | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Chocolatte | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Breaker Wave | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Artemis Sparkles | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roots Tootn | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Free Drop Nana | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mspunkinsperegrine | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carolines Hart | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Doris J | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cold Case | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Justice Addition | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreaming of June | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Of All Things | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | On Ramp | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love Loving | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboy Killer | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rags | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Chrome | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | American Law | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Black Powder | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fireball Birdie | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pappy’s Revenge | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Capo Luca | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princetown | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Notary | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rock Solo | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Faust | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Invictus | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Camp Evans | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mitty’s Griddy | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rowdy Riot | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Innovator | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Divine Justice | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Vector | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Finster | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mumayaz | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Commerce | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kunshan Bridge | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Optimal Courage | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dazzlemesilver | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One True Shance | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lemon Drop Shot | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Taillights | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Swift as I Am | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Texas Holdem | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sergeant Gump | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cravensworth | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.