Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kid Billy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Social Hour | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oil Capital | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Irish | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Jim | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Farm Team | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mad Banker | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Berning Beauty | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calling Card | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kaz Oil Changer | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Corvus | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Pitch | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Chase | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Emirates Road | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magical Ways | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Waitlist | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Lord | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rollin in Dough | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Top of the Table | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Graceful Rose | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Redwineandwhiskey | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carol T | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dorth’s Sol Dancer | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Wadadli | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ishkabibble | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Meringue | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Katerina Ristova | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Girl Aubree | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Daughters’ Gift | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tree House | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Khali’s Storm | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nic’s Style | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Maxima | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Brown Sugar | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Atarah | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cupid’s Heart | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Limes Don’t Lie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Light the Way | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bramito | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bartlett | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ignite the Light | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Day | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | General Banker | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ridgewood Runner | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Land d’Oro | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reynolds Channel | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brazenly | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Playing Tricks | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiger Twenty Four | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Willintoriskitall | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run Quiet Run Fast | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | On the Mount | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Golden Symphony | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lotsa Trouble | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shipsational | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Riyadh Moon | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Wisdom | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barnstorming | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Screaming Uncle | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thrill of It | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glint | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.