Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Prepped | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Connection | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Road Trippin | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Causeway | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Taterpie | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mount Vernon | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Tap | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swerve | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tranquillo | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Fasig-tipton Crescent City Oaks) – Fasig-tipton Crescent City Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Braken Poppa | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thrill Seeker | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fade to Gold | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Play On Player | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chicka Chick | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | What’s Love | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Amber Q | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Marauder | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Direct Strike | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Get Them Roses | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double Entendre | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiernanogue | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Regal Star | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paul’s Recovery | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Seal | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Tamino | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | This Is Your Time | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Days Ahead | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bestball | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mouqeer | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rock Music | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arabian Power | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Maximo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Exhilaration | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Great Moment | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Autie | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conejo Chapin | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Free Scrim | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dapper Moon | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | G’wildcat | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mister Banderas | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lauri’s Wish | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Achromedoutcat | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hi Yah | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bandido Deal | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prodigy Paradise | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Tom Benson Memorial S.) – Tom Benson Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Way to Be Marie | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ready for Shirl | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gavea (GER) | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sophie’s Cruiser | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sea To Sky (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | For Love and Honor | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cupids Crush | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chianti Town | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bearister | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Impractical | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Armet | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Radar Lock | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Not to Worry | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saint of War | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mo the Merrier | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mr. All In | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Essence of Knicks | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Range Goat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Costa Rising S.) – Costa Rising S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nine Part | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monsieur Candy | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strong Promise | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hay Jude | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smash It | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clear as a Bele | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Chopper | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sounds Like Power | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chad’s Flashy Ways | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sassi D | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Take Charge J J | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dr. My Eyes | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Buy the Rights | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (New Orleans Classic S. Presented By Hagyard) – New Orleans Classic S. Presented By Hagyard
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Touchuponastar | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Life and Times | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Not This Boy | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Westwood | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Corporate Power | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Accelerize | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Muniz Memorial Classic S. Presented By Horse Racing Nation) – Muniz Memorial Classic S. Presented By Horse Racing Nation
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Program Trading (GB) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lagynos | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Montador | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tom’s Magic | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing the Crown | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Idratherbeblessed | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Faber | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Fasig-tipton Fair Grounds Oaks) – Fasig-tipton Fair Grounds Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bella Ballerina | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Newtown Pike | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Life of Joy | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maximum Offer | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love and Trust | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luv Your Neighbor | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Metoyer | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby) – Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chip Honcho | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Tempo | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Universe | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blacksmith | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Easterly | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spirit of Royal | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pavlovian | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Emerging Market | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Autobahn | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Heavenly Melody | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prima Donna | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good Family | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Raspberry | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mighty Hankerin | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angelic Katie | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Al Latafah | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mothertwotheblues | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Angels Envy | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Determined Dancer | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Federal Force | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Not That Simple | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | More Sweeter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Twirling Daisy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Raging Bloom | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dirty Straight Up | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ray Mefasolateedoe | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Slewssongofthenile | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charlie Prime | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | My Touch | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hms Diamond | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Westbrook | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | A Lotta Shance | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wildly Wicked | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Soft Hands | 8.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shalom | 20.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seize the Port | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.