Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Salagadoola | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Saranac Lake | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 1 | Mo Sense | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Boltoro | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 7 | Argan | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2B | 5 | What’s to Do | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 8 | C. C. Harbor | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 4 | Legally Lucky | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Lexus | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal B | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Highway Seventy | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mazarn | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prone to Greatness | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Menu | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Surprising Love | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Tizzy | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pirulita | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Back Nine | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | You Ain’t Poppn | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | City of Oscars | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Society | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Global Quote | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Bid | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Googol Joke | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Mischief | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Lapatourel Overnight S.) – Lapatourel Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Peignoir | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Lookin Lucky | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar Fish | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seraphia | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In Just My Heels | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Task | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled’s Heir | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holus Bolus | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miracle Mack | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Time Andbeyond | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Max Dot Socks | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Getoutyourwallet | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Battleoftheravine | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grey Street | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Peel | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Eternally Grateful | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Come Out Fighting | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jimmies Big Day | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Campfire Creed | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Racarino | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Holdem | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flashy Lover | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cravensworth | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Macho Ronnie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Flipping Fish | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dr. Soulfire | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ashburner | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Razor Tap | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lookin At Mac | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamofyou | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Athletic Like | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midshakin | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bayou Flyer | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Onyx Outlaw | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jackie Paper | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | City of Angels | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Major Dax | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stoke the Fire | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chaperone | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Giant Moon | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lebombo | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Promissione | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Oracle | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Weaponized | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Essex H.) – Essex H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Accelerize | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skippylongstocking | 0.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gould’s Gold | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Doc Sullivan | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mackman | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | San Siro | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Duke of Duval | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Again | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gettinby | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lord of Rhymes | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tizmarkus | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rocket Sanders | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bettys Cash | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Four O Nine | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Razorback Army | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Only a Dream | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Personal Jet | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bossofmi | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gee No Hollander | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sound of Victory | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stellar Vino | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Commerce | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Speightster Red | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Exton | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Taillights | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mowins | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ringside | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hayes Strike | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lea Me Be | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Remember the Fear | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Reveille Valley | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Castle Gap | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.